Development of a prehospital lactic acidosis score for early-mortality. A prospective, multicenter, ambulance-based, cohort study.
The American journal of emergency medicine · 2022-12-22 · Method & validation
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Lactic acidosis is a clinical status related to clinical worsening. Actually, higher levels of lactate is a well-established trigger of emergency situations. The aim of this work is to build-up a prehospital early warning score to predict 2-day mortality and intensive care unit (ICU) admission, constructed with other components of the lactic acidosis besides the lactate. METHODS: Prospective, multicenter, observational, derivation-validation cohort study of adults evacuated by ambulance and admitted to emergency department with acute diseases, between January 1st, 2020 and December 31st, 2021. Including six advanced life support, thirty-eight basic life support units, referring to four hospitals (Spain). The primary and secondary outcome of the study were 2-day all-cause mortality and ICU-admission. The prehospital lactic acidosis (PLA) score was derived from the analysis of prehospital blood parameters associated with the outcome using a logistic regression. The calibration, clinical utility, and discrimination of PLA were determined and compared to the performance of each component of the score alone. RESULTS: A total of 3334 patients were enrolled. The final PLA score included: lactate, pCO2, and pH. For 2-day mortality, the PLA showed an AUC of 0.941 (95%CI: 0.914-0.967), a better performance in calibration, and a higher net benefit as compared to the other score components alone. For the ICU admission, the PLA only showed a better performance for AUC: 0.75 (95%CI: 0.706-0.794). CONCLUSIONS: Our results showed that PLA predicts 2-day mortality better than other lactic acidosis components alone. Including PLA score in prehospital setting could improve emergency services decision-making.
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Tags
Early warning scores · Mortality & survival
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