Prognostic Impact of Prehospital Simple Risk Index in Patients With ST-Elevation Myocardial Infarction.
Circulation Journal · 2023-03-15 · Observational study
Abstract
BACKGROUND: The simple risk index recorded in the emergency room (ER-SRI), which is calculated using the formula (heart rate × [age / 10]2) / systolic blood pressure, was shown to be able to stratify the prognosis in ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) patients. However, the prognostic impact of the prehospital simple risk index (Pre-SRI) remains unknown. METHODS AND RESULTS: This study enrolled 2,047 STEMI patients from the Mie Acute Coronary Syndrome (ACS) registry. Pre-SRI was calculated using prehospital data and ER-SRI was calculated using emergency room data. The primary endpoint was 30-day all-cause mortality. The cut-off values of Pre-SRI and ER-SRI for predicting 30-day mortality were 34.8 and 34.1, with accuracies of 0.816 and 0.826 based on receiver operating characteristic analyses (P<0.001 for both). There was no difference in the accuracy of the 2 indices. Multivariate Cox regression analysis demonstrated that a High Pre-SRI (≥34) was a significant independent predictor of 30-day mortality. With combined Pre-SRI and ER-SRI assessment, patients with High Pre-SRI/High ER-SRI showed significantly higher mortality than those with High Pre-SRI/Low ER-SRI, Low Pre-SRI/High ER-SRI, and Low Pre-SRI/Low ER-SRI (P<0.001). The addition of High Pre-SRI to High ER-SRI showed incremental prognostic value of the Pre-SRI. CONCLUSIONS: Pre-SRI can identify high-risk STEMI patients at an early stage and combined assessment with Pre-SRI and ER-SRI could be of incremental prognostic value for risk stratification in STEMI patients.
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Tags
Early warning scores · Mortality & survival
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